Tennis · resolved market
ITF Koszalin: Tom Zeuch vs Niklas Guttau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf415b1bc41e4a7d96fca7e0aaadc461f60996ade35e8aa24ff363546f8a267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niklas Guttauof Tom Zeuch, Niklas Guttau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Tom Zeuch | 50c | 935$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.85 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niklas Guttau | 67c | 778.01$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Niklas Guttau | 79c | 625.32$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tom Zeuch | 31c | 481.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Tom Zeuch | 50c | 460.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niklas Guttau | 50c | 460.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Niklas Guttau | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niklas Guttau | 50c | 144.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Tom Zeuch | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Niklas Guttau | 51c | 93.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Tom Zeuch | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Niklas Guttau | 71c | 48.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Niklas Guttau | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Niklas Guttau | 59c | 33.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Niklas Guttau | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Niklas Guttau | 61c | 25.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Tom Zeuch | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Niklas Guttau | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked Tom Zeuch | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Tom Zeuch | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.