Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbefe047ca99a2fea24bf66f997d57205b2f1a31d889f3c174f5380c2f6da0354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 48c | 1,252$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.84 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 49c | 633.38$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 31c | 556.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.15 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 55c | 253.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 67c | 252.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 51c | 241.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 58c | 179.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 36c | 175.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 172.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 157.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 75c | 155.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 131.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 33c | 126.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 40c | 123.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 69c | 123.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 115.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 101.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 39c | 101.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 38c | 91.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 84.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 61c | 69.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 66.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 49c | 66.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 49c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 61c | 65.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 31c | 62.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 62.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 61.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 49c | 60.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 60.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 59.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…ef8abacked No | 69c | 58.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 50c | 57.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…0e9dbacked No | 46c | 56.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 51c | 56.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 56.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 55c | 54.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…29b2backed No | 67c | 52.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 39c | 51.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 69c | 48.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…4446backed Yes | 56c | 48.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 48.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…47e4backed Yes | 49c | 45.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 51c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 26c | 43.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 46c | 43.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…d295backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked No | 46c | 39.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 36c | 36.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 36.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 35.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 46c | 33.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 45c | 33.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 33.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 38c | 33.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 47c | 32.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 37c | 30.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…4ef0backed Yes | 48c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…ad8dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 44c | 26.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…463dbacked No | 67c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 66c | 18.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 61c | 18.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.