Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Elijah Strode
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5678469559fb7f34d3a50f0cff293d28c214ec0622c507e264859e8d4a4857b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elijah Strodeof Johan Alexander Rodriguez, Elijah Strode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elijah Strode | 15c | 3,530$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elijah Strode | 18c | 839.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Elijah Strode | 49c | 368.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 78c | 272.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.72 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 77c | 241.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Elijah Strode | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Elijah Strode | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Elijah Strode | 20c | 91.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 45c | 88.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 62c | 83.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Elijah Strode | 18c | 80.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Elijah Strode | 19c | 65.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 79c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Elijah Strode | 63c | 60.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Elijah Strode | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 78c | 31.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elijah Strode | 45c | 23.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 78c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.