World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128988e6e172a5ff84267113e4ce07960f92d8b5ad32128b3e45e5b0a070139c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 56c | 1,203$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.75 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 52c | 838.22$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 38c | 663.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…1ddfbacked No | 43c | 559.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 494.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes | 57c | 482.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 45c | 396.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 53c | 304.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 297.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 33c | 288.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 58c | 285.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 283.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 250.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 244.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 29c | 212.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 49c | 205.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 51c | 194.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 187.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 14c | 183.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 23c | 179.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…b908backed No | 17c | 173.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 26c | 165.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 45c | 160.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…319dbacked No | 48c | 155.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 62c | 150.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 60c | 142.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 136.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 67c | 134.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 56c | 134.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 18c | 127.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 61c | 123.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 122.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 27c | 114.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 58c | 111.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 56c | 106.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 104.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 100.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…abfbbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…cf83backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed No | 48c | 99.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 35c | 93.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 49c | 87.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 62c | 86.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 31c | 85.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 34c | 84.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed Yes | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 53c | 77.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 77.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 25c | 74.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 55c | 66.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 57c | 62.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…64d2backed Yes | 59c | 62.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 55c | 60.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…aff0backed Yes | 61c | 59.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 59c | 57.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 40c | 56.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…1f83backed Yes | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 39c | 53.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 45c | 52.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 24c | 51.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…af38backed No | 39c | 51.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 42c | 47.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 43c | 45.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 26c | 43.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 39c | 43.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…082cbacked Yes | 56c | 42.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 54c | 41.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…bd21backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…3910backed Yes | 76c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed No | 44c | 37.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 61c | 35.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Yes | 66c | 33.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 44c | 30.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.