Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369a63d743a59811ac847244ffa44edf05c453fd8b98847e078fb135fc1ad113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 61c | 705$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.25 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 52c | 386.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 376.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 42c | 353.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 64c | 333.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 280.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…675fbacked Yes | 44c | 271.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 50c | 256.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 254.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 234.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 39c | 207.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 66c | 202.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 57c | 174.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 46c | 164.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 41c | 164.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 154.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 54c | 133.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 62c | 120.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 41c | 119$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed No | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 112.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 59c | 109.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 48c | 106.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…7a5ebacked No | 56c | 98.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 47c | 97.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 51c | 94.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 53c | 91.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 47c | 90.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 53c | 85.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 40c | 81.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 48c | 80.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 43c | 78.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…a534backed Yes | 36c | 77.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked No | 48c | 76.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 35c | 75.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 45c | 75.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 71.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked No | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 37c | 70.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 48c | 69.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 47c | 59.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 76c | 58.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 53c | 55.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 37c | 53.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 51c | 51.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 52c | 51.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 60c | 50.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 54c | 48.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…17e4backed Yes | 37c | 48.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 67c | 46.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…c289backed Yes | 36c | 46.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked Yes | 40c | 46.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 49c | 45.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 52c | 44.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 43.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…88bebacked No | 64c | 42.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…0985backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…b8dbbacked No | 54c | 41.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…5d1bbacked No | 65c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 52c | 39.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…da7cbacked No | 52c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 42c | 36.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 58c | 36.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 36.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 64c | 35.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 61c | 34.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 35c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed Yes | 38c | 33.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 40c | 33.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 55c | 32.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 53c | 32.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 44c | 31.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…2215backed No | 65c | 31.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…21a9backed Yes | 65c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 29.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked No | 62c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…59dabacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 46c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 65c | 25.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.