Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Cobolli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c66b01fb7934923cd69c89ef7e7e593d2281e5945127786320194230ac50ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jodar | 71c | 866.19$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli | 37c | 542.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar | 66c | 523.24$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cobolli | 34c | 476.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 2,925 | 39.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L | -85.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jodar | 65c | 422.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 7,791 | 47.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L | +39.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cobolli | 33c | 302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,917 | 59.3%1,136 W · 781 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a827backed Cobolli | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Cobolli | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 175 | 19.4%34 W · 141 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Cobolli | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 762 | 43%328 W · 434 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jodar | 72c | 150.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Jodar | 68c | 139.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Cobolli | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 688 | 38.2%263 W · 425 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Cobolli | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jodar | 67c | 64.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2,454 | 50.9%1,248 W · 1,206 L | +83.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Jodar | 60c | 50.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Cobolli | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 718 | 21%151 W · 567 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…102cbacked Jodar | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Cobolli | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Jodar | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,104 | 49.7%549 W · 555 L | +46.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Cobollithis page
- Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Jodar vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.