Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf989c99772cf60bc7b0dec4c4eab4821f4dc8cea8216b74b522534f3d894a6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Jodar, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd607…842abacked Cobolli | 53c | 9,462$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.26 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jodar | 48c | 4,748$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.25 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jodar | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar | 48c | 2,720$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.4 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Cobolli | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli | 62c | 1,109$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.91 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Jodar | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Cobolli | 51c | 1,010$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Jodar | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Cobolli | 51c | 973.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.81 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Jodar | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Jodar | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Jodar | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…c10dbacked Jodar | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 44c | 382.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Jodar | 50c | 308.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Jodar | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Jodar | 48c | 285.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Cobolli | 51c | 248.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Jodar | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Jodar | 48c | 204.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Jodar | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Jodar | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Cobolli | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cobolli | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jodar | 51c | 151.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a827backed Jodar | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Jodar | 50c | 131.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Cobolli | 53c | 103.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Cobolli | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Jodar | 51c | 95.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…ba16backed Cobolli | 51c | 94.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Jodar | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…fab5backed Jodar | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Cobolli | 58c | 68.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cobolli | 30c | 68.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Cobolli | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Cobolli | 50c | 45.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Cobolli | 50c | 43.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Jodar | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Cobolli | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jodar | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Jodar | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Cobolli | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Jodar vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs CobolliJodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.