Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open (Doubles): Melo/Zverev vs Chan/Galarneau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20078f1f74dec838bad9a39b9b72697232e9c334d2e6fb4837e4f8c6e22573cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chan/Galarneauof Melo/Zverev, Chan/Galarneau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Chan/Galarneau | 67c | 597.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chan/Galarneau | 55c | 538.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Chan/Galarneau | 37c | 524.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.52 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Melo/Zverev | 49c | 273.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Melo/Zverev | 63c | 272.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Chan/Galarneau | 25c | 265.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Melo/Zverev | 41c | 252.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Melo/Zverev | 46c | 204.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Melo/Zverev | 63c | 202$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Melo/Zverev | 75c | 166.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chan/Galarneau | 14c | 154.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…0d48backed Melo/Zverev | 44c | 119.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Melo/Zverev | 39c | 119.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Melo/Zverev | 25c | 96.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Melo/Zverev | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Chan/Galarneau | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…01c6backed Chan/Galarneau | 64c | 69.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Melo/Zverev | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Melo/Zverev | 52c | 64.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Melo/Zverev | 25c | 45.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Melo/Zverev | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Melo/Zverev | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Melo/Zverev | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.