TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Finland vs. USA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Finlandof Finland, USA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Finland65c4,205$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked USA35c2,700$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Finland64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.732161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed USA36c1,264$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed USA35c893.2$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked USA36c799.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9930946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked USA36c682.94$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked USA2c665.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Finland64c531$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1633837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed USA35c499.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.985156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed USA34c478.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed USA36c454.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.69846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed USA36c450$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Finland63c449.75$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.918043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Finland64c443.98$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8349546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed USA25c424.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Finland65c399.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.995038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5e0…ecc4backed Finland66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Finland64c325.18$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Finland63c306.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8411547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5173…c07cbacked Finland67c285$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked USA35c283.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.931040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed USA36c282$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3110066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Finland63c275.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.998860.2%53 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c75…8a96backed USA35c264.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed USA33c231.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.363545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Finland60c226.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.782969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed USA38c219.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.221963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Finland66c215.51$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.381,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed USA35c209.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2914254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Finland66c151.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.767861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Finland66c151.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Finland66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5224259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Finland66c151.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.285954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Finland64c149.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked USA36c136.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Finland64c133.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5818136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed USA16c129.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.183063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed USA40c125.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56c…e890backed USA21c119.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a2…875ebacked USA36c116.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Finland67c112.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.77988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick47cpaid+87.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked USA36c112.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Finland65c103.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3245651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed USA38c103.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Finland64c101.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked USA35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fe…f330backed USA36c99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed USA36c91.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed USA35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…71abbacked USA36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0a6fbacked Finland65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+82.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Finland64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6343250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed USA38c74.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2511852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Finland65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.510464.4%67 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2063…e6bdbacked USA45c67.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Finland66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1066…a2cabacked Finland65c60.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed USA35c58.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.496845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Finland65c58.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3824949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…6ab2backed Finland65c57.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…7d0ebacked USA35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked USA36c57.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e30…d312backed USA36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+81%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Finland64c54.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e5…8ec2backed USA38c53.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x286b…c15fbacked USA36c52.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Finland64c51.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4449747.9%238 W · 259 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4373…6d1cbacked Finland66c51.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed USA37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Finland65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Finland66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.459562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Finland65c44.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcddc…c00dbacked USA36c44.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed USA35c41.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.186842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b6…a412backed Finland66c40.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Finland78c39.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8132353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked USA39c38.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Finland66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.887655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Finland65c33.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.583174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd7b2…81a4backed USA36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb0…718cbacked Finland66c31.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked USA36c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87dc…a465backed Finland65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…69cdbacked Finland65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed Finland64c30.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Finland66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e3…b17fbacked Finland66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Finland64c30.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Finland60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782f…13bdbacked USA35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Finland58c28.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.922236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Finland65c27.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+64.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…3fbdbacked USA40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Finland64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.645556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…26c7backed Finland66c22.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Finland63c22.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.073357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdbc…447abacked Finland67c21.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d0…a663backed Finland65c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa671…f693backed Finland66c16.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.