NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7db788602f2897d32976d1bd9b63b063b6f3c5595a142df74cdb7625ae3d6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hungaryof Hungary, Great Britain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Hungary | 52c | 4,680$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.19 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked Great Britain | 48c | 3,924$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hungary | 51c | 1,007$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Great Britain | 32c | 919.97$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Great Britain | 24c | 824.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…2200backed Hungary | 53c | 658.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…ecc4backed Great Britain | 48c | 625.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Great Britain | 47c | 499.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hungary | 78c | 493.57$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Great Britain | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Hungary | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Great Britain | 48c | 399.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Great Britain | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Great Britain | 45c | 265.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Great Britain | 49c | 204.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Great Britain | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Hungary | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Great Britain | 47c | 184.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Great Britain | 17c | 162.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Hungary | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Hungary | 53c | 125.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hungary | 52c | 122.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Great Britain | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…2142backed Hungary | 53c | 109.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…eafebacked Great Britain | 13c | 108.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hungary | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Great Britain | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked Great Britain | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Great Britain | 19c | 88.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Great Britain | 47c | 85.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Great Britain | 48c | 77.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Great Britain | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Hungary | 53c | 63.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed Great Britain | 47c | 63.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Great Britain | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Great Britain | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Hungary | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Hungary | 52c | 59.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…6acabacked Hungary | 52c | 59.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Great Britain | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Hungary | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Hungary | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d58cbacked Hungary | 52c | 32.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…5882backed Hungary | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Great Britain | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hungary | 53c | 20.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Hungary | 74c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.