TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05be…d58c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
World Championships: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italybacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
World Championships: Germany vs. Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britainbacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$15.44
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.