NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8021ce38c8a1a4f70135f9ce2074fdda49a6a05c58a17ed694a53de20ee5e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloveniaof Slovenia, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Italy | 46c | 12,051$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.14 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Italy | 51c | 1,738$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.82 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Slovenia | 54c | 1,665$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.9 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Italy | 62c | 1,426$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Slovenia | 54c | 1,217$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Slovenia | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.51 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Slovenia | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Slovenia | 55c | 948.57$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Slovenia | 55c | 888.84$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Slovenia | 41c | 869.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Slovenia | 72c | 855.94$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Slovenia | 79c | 829.24$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Slovenia | 54c | 687.07$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Slovenia | 55c | 671.79$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Slovenia | 55c | 638.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Slovenia | 65c | 619.3$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Slovenia | 54c | 533.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Slovenia | 52c | 482.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…8b39backed Slovenia | 54c | 438$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…7d1cbacked Italy | 5c | 432.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Italy | 40c | 402.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Slovenia | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Slovenia | 54c | 386.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Slovenia | 54c | 306.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Slovenia | 80c | 284.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked Slovenia | 80c | 273.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Slovenia | 54c | 264$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Slovenia | 65c | 253.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Italy | 39c | 247.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Italy | 45c | 218.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Italy | 47c | 202.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Slovenia | 42c | 199.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Slovenia | 54c | 186.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Slovenia | 55c | 182.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Slovenia | 54c | 172$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Slovenia | 59c | 170.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Slovenia | 55c | 168.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Slovenia | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked Slovenia | 54c | 157.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovenia | 75c | 154.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Italy | 39c | 147.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Slovenia | 54c | 138.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Italy | 59c | 134.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Italy | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed Slovenia | 57c | 121.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Italy | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Italy | 45c | 117.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Slovenia | 60c | 115.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Italy | 42c | 108$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Italy | 46c | 104.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Slovenia | 54c | 103.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Slovenia | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Slovenia | 54c | 96.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Slovenia | 54c | 91.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…e38fbacked Italy | 38c | 78.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…be6fbacked Slovenia | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…1609backed Slovenia | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…26ccbacked Italy | 46c | 69.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…5942backed Slovenia | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Slovenia | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Slovenia | 63c | 63.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Slovenia | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…88eabacked Slovenia | 54c | 55.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Italy | 31c | 53.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Slovenia | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Italy | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Slovenia | 65c | 38.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Italy | 43c | 36.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…ff82backed Slovenia | 55c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Slovenia | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…06cdbacked Slovenia | 55c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Slovenia | 54c | 33.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…ce1bbacked Slovenia | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…13bdbacked Slovenia | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…5715backed Slovenia | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…8ce3backed Slovenia | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d58cbacked Slovenia | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Slovenia | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Slovenia | 54c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Slovenia | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Slovenia | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Slovenia | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Slovenia | 60c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Slovenia | 58c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc8…cb79backed Slovenia | 61c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.