TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cap Cana: Mattia Bellucci vs Raphael Collignon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mattia Bellucciof Mattia Bellucci, Raphael Collignon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,859 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Raphael Collignon60c25,174$15,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,100.6566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Mattia Bellucci43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015a…5077backed Raphael Collignon57c6,905$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.851070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mattia Bellucci40c4,718$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.192,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Raphael Collignon31c4,604$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.759744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Raphael Collignon0c4,214$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Raphael Collignon50c4,000$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.386541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mattia Bellucci40c3,684$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.156,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci40c3,407$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.646,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mattia Bellucci69c3,119$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.1975748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52cc…3cdfbacked Raphael Collignon57c2,425$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.81070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mattia Bellucci47c2,010$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raphael Collignon23c1,998$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Mattia Bellucci40c1,797$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.526432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Mattia Bellucci57c1,561$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.958555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Mattia Bellucci71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4546473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Mattia Bellucci43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6848855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Raphael Collignon62c1,124$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Mattia Bellucci43c1,010$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.8420542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raphael Collignon27c882.45$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Raphael Collignon57c877.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Raphael Collignon58c797.03$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4651,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Raphael Collignon38c794.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mattia Bellucci65c787.46$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.154,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Raphael Collignon20c721.92$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.61,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Mattia Bellucci51c716.39$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Raphael Collignon58c690.52$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3997345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raphael Collignon57c648.14$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.92,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Mattia Bellucci46c608.7$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raphael Collignon5c597.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Mattia Bellucci46c592.8$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.329242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Mattia Bellucci58c589.05$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.058951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Raphael Collignon57c526.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mattia Bellucci69c509.23$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.864,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Raphael Collignon65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Raphael Collignon59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Raphael Collignon61c415.7$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5819835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Mattia Bellucci72c380$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.186470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Mattia Bellucci43c345.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3454348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Raphael Collignon27c326.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mattia Bellucci53c320.38$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.122,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Collignon42c316.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.916,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raphael Collignon4c315.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.391,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Mattia Bellucci40c315$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mattia Bellucci59c261.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2838147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Raphael Collignon60c258.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15535360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Mattia Bellucci40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Raphael Collignon44c249.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Collignon55c245.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af9…5bf2backed Raphael Collignon62c242.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.613073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mattia Bellucci43c239.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Mattia Bellucci57c233.11$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.116668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Mattia Bellucci35c228.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.675250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mattia Bellucci75c226.96$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Raphael Collignon26c223.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raphael Collignon56c222.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.431,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mattia Bellucci52c204.24$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Mattia Bellucci74c201.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Mattia Bellucci43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11431039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Mattia Bellucci49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Mattia Bellucci43c185.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9765840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Mattia Bellucci40c184.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3914949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Raphael Collignon35c180.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mattia Bellucci43c172$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0418548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Mattia Bellucci36c169.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4825546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Raphael Collignon62c159.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.171,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Mattia Bellucci42c155.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0510835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Raphael Collignon13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Raphael Collignon65c153.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Mattia Bellucci43c152.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8364537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Mattia Bellucci42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8723847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mattia Bellucci42c149.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.991,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a5…c4c3backed Raphael Collignon34c149.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Mattia Bellucci37c148.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3232842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Raphael Collignon9c140.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9211347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb189…e61dbacked Raphael Collignon59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Mattia Bellucci74c123.47$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.192040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Mattia Bellucci41c122.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6690854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Mattia Bellucci42c116.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Mattia Bellucci46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Mattia Bellucci63c108.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2463746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Raphael Collignon10c107.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Raphael Collignon59c102.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Raphael Collignon65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Mattia Bellucci44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9960856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Raphael Collignon58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Mattia Bellucci45c88.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8326349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Mattia Bellucci40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mattia Bellucci71c87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Raphael Collignon59c85.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Raphael Collignon43c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5521257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f1…f53cbacked Mattia Bellucci43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Raphael Collignon48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mattia Bellucci41c63.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.331,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Raphael Collignon56c62.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.227,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Raphael Collignon60c62.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e95…7db1backed Mattia Bellucci43c61.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.071258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Mattia Bellucci78c55.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raphael Collignon56c51.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Mattia Bellucci41c51.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.371957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.