TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancaccio

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raul Brancaccioof Matteo Martineau, Raul Brancaccio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Martineau16c19,201$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.637,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Matteo Martineau7c11,828$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau7c6,567$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau13c5,814$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Martineau53c4,893$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.76,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Matteo Martineau19c2,499$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.072,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Martineau44c2,385$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.137,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raul Brancaccio59c1,998$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.393,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raul Brancaccio77c1,269$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.976,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Matteo Martineau53c1,182$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Matteo Martineau27c926.82$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9830225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau20c862.02$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.236,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matteo Martineau29c828.91$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.351,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Raul Brancaccio48c622.53$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2841955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Matteo Martineau7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raul Brancaccio73c581.9$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.682,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Matteo Martineau13c530.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1810242.2%43 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Matteo Martineau18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.081,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Raul Brancaccio48c524.77$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.883658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Matteo Martineau38c501.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Matteo Martineau19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1438739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Raul Brancaccio75c495.3$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f64…6ddfbacked Matteo Martineau52c462.76$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.873339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Raul Brancaccio55c455.7$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9435032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Matteo Martineau53c449.47$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5527240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7fe…f111backed Matteo Martineau54c446.89$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.686963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Raul Brancaccio74c408.69$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0559253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Raul Brancaccio50c345.74$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4218957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Matteo Martineau8c312.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.531217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Raul Brancaccio49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.351,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Martineau51c292.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.814,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Matteo Martineau23c290.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matteo Martineau38c287.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Raul Brancaccio48c268$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.227,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Matteo Martineau39c242.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.212,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Matteo Martineau28c226.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Raul Brancaccio47c225.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.586344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1986…956ebacked Matteo Martineau7c224.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Matteo Martineau54c218.88$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1931753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Matteo Martineau45c215.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.733149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Raul Brancaccio71c214.93$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3357953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Raul Brancaccio73c212.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.621,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Raul Brancaccio48c195.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Matteo Martineau21c188.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6115748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Matteo Martineau53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1812831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Matteo Martineau44c169.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9112831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Raul Brancaccio58c168.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7884963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Matteo Martineau56c165.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Raul Brancaccio73c152.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4473549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Raul Brancaccio70c142.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Matteo Martineau47c141.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0394549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Matteo Martineau28c129.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.110059%59 W · 41 L+14.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Raul Brancaccio46c128.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Raul Brancaccio47c117.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6422747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Matteo Martineau26c117.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Matteo Martineau52c112.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5943558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Raul Brancaccio71c112.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0323634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Matteo Martineau45c111.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.621,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matteo Martineau53c109.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Matteo Martineau58c103.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2217655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Raul Brancaccio48c102.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4619250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Matteo Martineau52c98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9618156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Matteo Martineau30c95.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.993,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Matteo Martineau53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5927539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Matteo Martineau54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6220552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc72…65a1backed Matteo Martineau29c82.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Matteo Martineau52c81.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.631,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Matteo Martineau52c81.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Matteo Martineau56c76.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Matteo Martineau53c74.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7381255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Matteo Martineau32c71.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.079529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Raul Brancaccio54c66.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e3d…bd04backed Raul Brancaccio64c64.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Matteo Martineau52c63.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.922832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-44.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Matteo Martineau22c61.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6348650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Matteo Martineau44c59.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.098257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Matteo Martineau28c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.293,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Matteo Martineau51c56.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.134650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Matteo Martineau27c55.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f60…3a69backed Matteo Martineau52c52.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.082263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Matteo Martineau21c51.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce0…4754backed Raul Brancaccio78c50.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.822470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x926c…5d40backed Raul Brancaccio77c50.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.436566.2%43 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Raul Brancaccio47c49.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.286360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Matteo Martineau49c49.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.397550.7%38 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Matteo Martineau51c48.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.745051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Raul Brancaccio72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.479052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Raul Brancaccio48c41.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Raul Brancaccio68c40.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…08d5backed Raul Brancaccio64c40.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.855761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Raul Brancaccio47c40.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.354740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Raul Brancaccio50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Matteo Martineau52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.247453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Raul Brancaccio68c38.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Matteo Martineau53c36.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Matteo Martineau53c35.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0717761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Matteo Martineau55c35.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4646848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Matteo Martineau54c35.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Raul Brancaccio55c29.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3325265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Matteo Martineau53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4556757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.