Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86211fe7fb330a0d9d93557259bc909bb0e3edff07848f32cb68aa53958559c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gianluca Cadenassoof Gianluca Cadenasso, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,080 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 8c | 1,392$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 24c | 1,155$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.95 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 22c | 1,052$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.58 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 21c | 482.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 8c | 289.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 9c | 205$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 28c | 172.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 28c | 83.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 74.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 21c | 64.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 39c | 36.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 31.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 27.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.