Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4a6693a94d455429fce77acebf65cd668330c434b3b63bc70ad3ea1cad8cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Dalibor Svrcina, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,124 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 21,404$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.89 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 2c | 18,315$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 17,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 16,655$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.51 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dalibor Svrcina | 1c | 14,193$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 8,665$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.08 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 5,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Dalibor Svrcina | 2c | 4,408$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 2c | 3,921$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 3,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 2,536$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 2,254$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 2,023$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Dalibor Svrcina | 1c | 1,948$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Dalibor Svrcina | 2c | 1,177$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 1,070$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 999.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 940.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 892.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 745$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Dalibor Svrcina | 1c | 737.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 581.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Dalibor Svrcina | 3c | 522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 511$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 421.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 322.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dalibor Svrcina | 4c | 275.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Dalibor Svrcina vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Svrcina vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.