Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257eaeba204cc23357cd51bacd1085d1f99fd3eb7834fe51b49ec917edc0da49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof California Baptist Lancers, UT Arlington Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 4,321$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 75c | 3,500$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 57c | 3,048$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 5c | 2,847$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 59c | 2,775$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 64c | 1,882$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.85 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 1,677$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 1,565$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.21 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed California Baptist Lancers | 32c | 1,332$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed California Baptist Lancers | 52c | 1,052$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +48%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 38c | 763.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Baptist Lancers | 30c | 703.78$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 652.87$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked California Baptist Lancers | 5c | 599.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 552.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 452.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.18 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 433.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 397.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 396.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed California Baptist Lancers | 40c | 370.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 42c | 286$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 265$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 256.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 43c | 251.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 219.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 187.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 72c | 177.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 44c | 171.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 166.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed California Baptist Lancers | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed California Baptist Lancers | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California Baptist Lancers | 39c | 143.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 136.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 130.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 118.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 64c | 76.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 57.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 74c | 54.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked California Baptist Lancers | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…1e6dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 56c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 134.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 135.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.