South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712e0483a6c1a36e2c81e830a42472a6339343efe3543f176878ea0b8babbff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,566$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 253.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 58c | 172.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Over | 57c | 167.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over | 58c | 103.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 96.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 43c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 43c | 57.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 43c | 56.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Under | 43c | 53.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 51c | 35.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 59c | 26.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.