South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf986340d8d9ce8d88207f09cd35246f6972353070cf0b6a6dfdef6b887a0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8126…9d18backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 22c | 146$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.