South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434c8b694031af8ee1a3dd332a6fc33305aaaea483b40442809e768186f2b4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 367.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 32c | 310.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 272.73$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 30c | 134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Under | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 40c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 69c | 41.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 56c | 31.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Under | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Under | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.