Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cbcb0e300d9be23b378dc2147e428962c8442b2aa45716d69ecb5460c241d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 37c | 14,425$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 9,852$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 5,551$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 42c | 5,347$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.95 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 2,440$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 901$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 33c | 891.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 54c | 744.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Over | 32c | 611.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 49c | 523.81$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 67c | 500.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 301.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 277.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Under | 75c | 228.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Under | 53c | 209$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Over | 41c | 178.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 67c | 168.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 66c | 144.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Under | 68c | 103.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 100.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 78.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…6096backed Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Under | 66c | 72.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 16c | 64.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 69c | 58.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…1e40backed Over | 31c | 47.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 62c | 44.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 43c | 42.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 25c | 41.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Under | 78c | 39.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 49c | 36.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Under | 60c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked Under | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Under | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…1f43backed Under | 63c | 23.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 66c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…16bcbacked Under | 68c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.