TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$643,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$645,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over55c456,540$249,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249,402.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under45c147,755$66,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,265.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under45c89,307$40,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,118.723844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under46c60,000$27,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,700683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c36,396$19,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,143.295,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under47c33,736$15,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,881.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under47c29,942$14,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,869.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c26,831$12,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,643.852,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c15,853$7,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,439.611,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9810228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over55c13,639$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c6,500$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.2726749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c6,130$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.38354.2%45 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c5,687$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.231250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.788930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Under47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5902842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf35c…b645backed Under47c2,651$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under35c2,457$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.91050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under45c2,220$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c2,088$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.5196846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over57c1,757$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.221070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c1,571$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.0612449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…fb61backed Under47c1,279$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+154.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over54c1,241$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c1,176$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.533735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c1,126$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c1,033$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.821,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5353348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over51c997.81$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c991.31$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.313650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…f674backed Under47c962$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Over55c904.8$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over76c692.02$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over58c586.87$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.871485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over59c558.4$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118d…a1d7backed Over55c527.63$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Over56c521.51$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Under40c438.79$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c403.13$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over38c390.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.973342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c390.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over55c364.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over65c323.5$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Over80c315.09$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…8f92backed Over68c310.29$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under42c299.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c299.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1312750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over53c296.23$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over65c288.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over53c232.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c230$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.99744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Under50c219.16$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under45c203.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.843330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd612…1550backed Under46c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c194$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.716454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Under36c184.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Under55c176.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under73c161.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.721,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Under46c158$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c155.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9624348.6%118 W · 125 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6e…a573backed Over54c155.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under67c152.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.969252.3%362 W · 330 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Over36c135.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5512147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over52c134$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6811441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under45c133.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.348100%8 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Under49c132.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee81…328cbacked Over41c131.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over61c130.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c128.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.179435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x957c…a8edbacked Over29c126.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.66149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under48c116$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over54c113.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f64…8775backed Over54c112.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over53c112$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.365651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Under51c104.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.274452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad3…0a3abacked Over54c102.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.055932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over55c91.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae39…c212backed Over55c91.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.77548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.78747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.