Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77961d2a2d1bc7b1c6de1bf15d0d2843ff7b24aa97ebd24078e953b81a1e3bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 39c | 1,855$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,839$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.99 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,357$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 35c | 566.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 471.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 331.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 328.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 301.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 68c | 294.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 53c | 284.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 210.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 54c | 186.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 184.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 36c | 135.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 35c | 86.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked No | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 38c | 76.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 74.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 35c | 71.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 48c | 63.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 54c | 55.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 52.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 51.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 48c | 32.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…0eaabacked No | 48c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 69c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.