TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed No33c50,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.9811949.6%59 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2923…a6c5backed Yes67c44,920$30,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,878.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…00f8backed Yes5c27,706$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,436.411100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,083%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes67c27,226$18,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,932.713850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No31c14,208$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,357.058651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c13,010$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.982,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3007261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No38c8,837$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.043060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No32c7,333$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.033759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No34c6,488$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.591,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes66c5,999$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Yes68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c4,897$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.325,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes67c4,420$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.214259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes66c3,650$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2412450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No29c2,343$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5813528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes71c2,123$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.129447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No26c1,854$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.578457.1%48 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.185149%25 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c1,713$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.546662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes71c1,693$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3614262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes67c1,652$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.1623256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.153265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes67c1,501$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.081758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes75c1,271$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7539637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes67c1,040$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes71c822.06$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4610155.4%56 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d12…bef1backed Yes67c769.73$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No33c750$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.52722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes65c747.11$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.481656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes67c742.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.231154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No34c730.85$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.053545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed Yes70c715.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Yes66c700.6$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c644.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.081,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0120572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes70c588.07$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.42650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No30c554.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.56543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Yes65c547.02$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed Yes63c500.68$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes63c399.94$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.987160.6%43 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes69c387.26$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.055457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes67c385$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0511136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No30c382.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe798…b668backed Yes76c339.25$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes61c327.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes64c312.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.814153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…38cdbacked Yes69c311.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.86875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes66c303.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes67c300.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875639.3%22 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes62c300$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1132740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Yes64c300$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.610263.7%65 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes64c287.86$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes79c275.71$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes57c267.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9832835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No29c235.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.082060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes66c233.23$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes66c229.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes67c224.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1321256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes67c222.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.943171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes68c210.29$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2914468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes65c202.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.611650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No11c183.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85614.9%3 W · 58 L-17.3wins-0.28per pick33cpaid-83.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578831.8%28 W · 60 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes60c177.04$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No36c174.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.86439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes63c172.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5617141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes67c159.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked No26c153.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…20debacked Yes66c151.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ee…edccbacked Yes70c150.92$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…7762backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No31c147.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7812562.4%78 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f9d…348dbacked Yes73c147.22$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes68c147.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…426dbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes75c142.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85a…6f28backed Yes70c120.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…c7aabacked No38c115.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes66c115.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.126942%29 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes66c114.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.273141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes66c112.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.674057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes67c112.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925160.8%31 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes56c104.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0811449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Yes69c101.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes55c99.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9926949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes54c99.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4d…6c36backed Yes70c99.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes56c96.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.528873.9%65 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c56…2d02backed Yes67c94.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes67c93.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.964379.1%34 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.