Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248b5ebd2ad1a4648a031cf1d7c2a30dd147ae6125be045a39814945a32809fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 2,749$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 79c | 2,560$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,539$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Over | 43c | 1,959$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 1,369$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 1,160$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 47c | 677.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 56c | 499.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…afb2backed Over | 43c | 461.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 349.34$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 256.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 47c | 223.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 197.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 23c | 117$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 52c | 95.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 48c | 61.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 23c | 56.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.