Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0555830077f0b2a0a772121cd17d1b2abb11ada2c3dc90fff33a8449c9454f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 17c | 1,190$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.07 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 1,056$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 629.47$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.69 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 54c | 620.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 53c | 609.55$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.49 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 45c | 553.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 545.49$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 524.02$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Over | 68c | 306.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 58c | 234.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 162.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 144.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 138$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 128.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 59c | 84.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 61c | 48.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 41c | 36.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 34.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 33.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 28.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 23.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.