Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9538684ed6c2591a05f503e26d892100dcc514a3a7f8a870aa59075906a519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,253$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 730.33$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.14 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 686.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.96 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 587.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 338.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 172.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 31c | 162.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 29c | 133$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 14c | 90.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 83.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 45c | 69.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 59c | 62.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 28c | 45.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…0dc6backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 41c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.