Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037f967360fac3fef32ba5221259c2ce437102789cf1400096f36300a115d43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 8,656$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 27c | 6,921$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 24c | 5,666$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 25c | 4,981$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.37 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 73c | 4,806$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.41 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,596$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 2,424$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 32c | 1,912$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.12 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 1,819$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 75c | 1,651$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.68 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 1,477$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.63 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 15c | 1,343$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 1,308$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 9c | 1,235$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 72c | 1,199$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 25c | 1,184$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 73c | 1,022$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 39c | 1,011$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.47 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 933$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 57c | 864.46$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 751.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 542.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 28c | 521.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked No | 29c | 520$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 76c | 514.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 364$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 75c | 338.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 328$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 78c | 319.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 66c | 308.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 25c | 278.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 68c | 257.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…db61backed Yes | 72c | 231.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 27c | 229.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 9c | 208.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 10c | 205.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 76c | 195.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 73c | 183.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 24c | 159.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked No | 9c | 157.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 62c | 152$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 74c | 142.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 64c | 141.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 26c | 108.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 29c | 103.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 69c | 101.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…4ad8backed Yes | 69c | 101.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 79c | 101.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 70c | 86.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 74c | 74.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 59c | 71.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 70.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…8010backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Yes | 67c | 67.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 71c | 67.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…b449backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 70c | 44.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.