Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec6af8f3b274e9aa96e0d3011284d3bdb4d46fecbd88dcdfc00628ae181bb1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 47c | 33,000$15,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,351.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 53c | 22,029$11,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,690.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Under | 71c | 2,106$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,649$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,607$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.57 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 2c | 1,242$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 921.18$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 851.45$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.34 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 847.86$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…d23bbacked Over | 25c | 665.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 75c | 661.56$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.17 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 371.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 20c | 239.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 26c | 229.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 48c | 229.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 53c | 173.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 26c | 72.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 50c | 59.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 50c | 56.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 26c | 52.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Under | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 49c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 27.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 61c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 71c | 21.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 72c | 21.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 75c | 20.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.