Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5d44b4acc2641e6e179cbde9d9a699d9daf9d6cff484129eea8a30f64cbfd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 63c | 15,816$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 37c | 6,785$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,876$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 1,226$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 1,180$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 1,042$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 1,037$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,036$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 64c | 783.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 44c | 703$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.59 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 560.89$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 506.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 57c | 447.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 59c | 426.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 41c | 365.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 23c | 358$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 43c | 319.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 314.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 55c | 281.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Over | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 55c | 223.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 47c | 212.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 49c | 209.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 168.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 56c | 113.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 34c | 109.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 74c | 106.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 58c | 88.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Over | 46c | 88.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 63c | 79.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 31c | 54.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 36c | 48.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Over | 45c | 44.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…af16backed Over | 56c | 44.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 40.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 47c | 31.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 47c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 55c | 21.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.