Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54bb6de248ef9b4d9c765c1c5333c708deabaeba8ab1100017cea1625832b8b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 49c | 1,796$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 48c | 1,571$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.87 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,431$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 647.42$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 56c | 589.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 489.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 366.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 287.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 8c | 207.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 139.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed No | 41c | 119.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 102.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 77c | 100.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -5.7wins | -0.57per pick | 67cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 75.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 51c | 75.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Yes | 52c | 74.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 59.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 47c | 54.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 47.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 46.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Yes | 60c | 41.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 52c | 32.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 49c | 28.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 59c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Yes | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 46c | 22.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed No | 52c | 19.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 64c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.