Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28f00f43725613a3e9153fa3ae55ee8039f323a1bf999005432cb7ea6861fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 5,870$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 76c | 4,488$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 3,933$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 79c | 2,400$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,960$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 1,147$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 75c | 939.78$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 781.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…a4cdbacked Over | 72c | 763.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…116abacked Over | 64c | 682.81$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 76c | 636.97$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 18c | 548.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 519.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 517.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 36c | 399.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Under | 27c | 366.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 349.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 283.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 158.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 79c | 113.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 74.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…12dabacked Under | 30c | 74.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 28c | 65.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Under | 31c | 64.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 23c | 47.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 74c | 40.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 79c | 38.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…ff41backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…4c25backed Over | 68c | 37.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 74c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3f01backed Over | 70c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 78c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Under | 37c | 34.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 72c | 30.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Over | 72c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…af16backed Over | 74c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 73c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…d04bbacked Over | 72c | 24.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 78c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.