Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849dc824c7057985f725274d3454faf176642441843f0b768af646f415fdabdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Panathinaikos, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos | 67c | 4,520$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos | 31c | 2,930$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.51 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 36c | 2,749$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.91 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Panathinaikos | 4c | 2,405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 32c | 1,977$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.42 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 1,498$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.48 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 50c | 1,362$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.34 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Panathinaikos | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Panathinaikos | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 974.86$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 650.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 62c | 629.59$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olympiacos B.C. | 36c | 597$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 297.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olympiacos B.C. | 34c | 266.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 41c | 242.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Olympiacos B.C. | 47c | 232.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos | 20c | 230.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 199.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 185.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 166.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Panathinaikos | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…1c85backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Panathinaikos | 33c | 144.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…de26backed Olympiacos B.C. | 40c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…803ebacked Panathinaikos | 21c | 112.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Panathinaikos | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 51c | 97.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Panathinaikos | 63c | 87.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panathinaikos | 39c | 81.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 74.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Panathinaikos | 34c | 72.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Panathinaikos | 36c | 69.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 59c | 67.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Olympiacos B.C. | 72c | 59.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 36c | 55.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 36c | 50.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…3566backed Olympiacos B.C. | 39c | 50.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Olympiacos B.C. | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Olympiacos B.C. | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 37.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 37c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 33.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Olympiacos B.C. | 48c | 31.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…d153backed Panathinaikos | 67c | 29.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Panathinaikos | 66c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.