Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1162e860de8062aa74c52bb005d956028e557121b14f557cd06a84a5d8e3b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 5,843$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 76c | 5,221$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.67 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 3,722$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.46 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 76c | 2,281$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.34 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 75c | 1,502$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 9c | 897.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 22c | 700.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 22c | 640.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 78c | 633.97$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 79c | 632.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 22c | 599$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 22c | 568$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 74c | 407.41$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 382.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 78c | 321.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 78c | 315.13$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 23c | 301.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 77c | 245.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 23c | 222.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685a…37e0backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 79c | 189.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 77c | 169.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 76c | 134.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 30c | 121.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 76c | 120.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed No | 23c | 105.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 77c | 103.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 22c | 100.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 23c | 92.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 79c | 64.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…702dbacked Yes | 79c | 62.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 70c | 61.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…74bcbacked Yes | 78c | 57.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 78c | 53.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed No | 23c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 79c | 44.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Yes | 75c | 32.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…d311backed Yes | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…e8f3backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…b2ecbacked Yes | 77c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 76c | 28.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 77c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 79c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…e85ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…d724backed Yes | 78c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 76c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…1e7fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Yes | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Yes | 77c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…e80cbacked Yes | 77c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.