Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4253c95bf71af60f56aa47c2f04557b17acc328611521d6ac6bbc0bed2c2ac85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,399.95 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 51,010$26,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,149.32 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 24,142$11,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,467.45 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 19,223$9,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,043.84 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 12,283$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.05 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 5,547$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.11 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 49c | 673$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.77 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 525$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 489.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 52c | 430.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Under | 50c | 316.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 49c | 246$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Over | 50c | 213.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 51c | 187.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…5182backed Under | 49c | 162.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 54c | 115.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 115.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Over | 50c | 109.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 50c | 104.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Over | 50c | 101.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Under | 50c | 73.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 50c | 71.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 50c | 69.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 49c | 27.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 49c | 27.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Under | 48c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5this page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden EaglesSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-5.5)South Dakota State Jackrabbits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.