TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,953 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c35,562$16,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,764.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over53c19,788$10,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,263.0322652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c15,603$8,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,938.898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under48c3,791$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e00…1e95backed Over52c3,012$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.552339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c1,063$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507f…c23bbacked Under48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c997.08$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7114755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over52c973.81$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Under48c731.97$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under40c689.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.981741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c679.67$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c471$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Under46c341$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e1…d473backed Under47c310.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under48c299.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6a…089bbacked Over53c279.78$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over63c267.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.962669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Over52c263.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Under40c252.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over62c225.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over65c194.6$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.112166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c192$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2410160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c191.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.187048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over53c180.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.659257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0463…f69ebacked Over54c177.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Over54c163.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over67c160.91$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6210357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over54c118.89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c112.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7713243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…896cbacked Over53c111.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over52c109.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.622560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over55c107.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.275066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa2…e287backed Under47c106.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over51c97.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.96841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over53c95.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.092564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over52c95.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.887254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over53c85.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over65c82.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked Over53c81.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under37c79.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Over53c78.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851e…d153backed Over53c75.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Over53c74.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Under47c74.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c73.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.048747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c71.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.278853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Under47c69.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c69.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.318353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Under47c68.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Under47c66.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under30c66.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under25c66.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Under38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over76c65.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x456e…968bbacked Over52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+162.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c52.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.783450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over52c47.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over52c44.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Over53c44.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Over53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over52c41.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.726344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.747739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over73c33.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Over67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over65c15.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.