Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3e068399f070434330b7e3c328d20f81a106510573068b95fc361aa653c795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,957 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 584.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed No | 43c | 525.58$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed No | 42c | 293.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 74c | 270.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 42c | 192.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 74c | 176.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 170.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed No | 32c | 157.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 76c | 155.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 59c | 120.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Yes | 58c | 115.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Yes | 58c | 114.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…e287backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 93.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Yes | 58c | 63.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 59.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 49.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 41.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…18cfbacked Yes | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 69c | 29.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 65c | 24.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 59c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 59c | 18.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.