Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f7a4fec1c94657326f2935658e32fc3a7726975302621203da8d6c83d9fc1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,912 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 71c | 7,504$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.71 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 51c | 5,446$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Over | 47c | 4,490$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Over | 50c | 3,049$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,376$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 33c | 1,113$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 38c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Under | 53c | 561.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 343.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 15c | 334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 45c | 325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…0401backed Over | 21c | 284.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…4e8abacked Under | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 275.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 26c | 218$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 206.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 74c | 178.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 161.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 42c | 143.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 46c | 135.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 15c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 14c | 110.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 104.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 50c | 98.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 27c | 91.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 91.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 80.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 79.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 27c | 73.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Under | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 76c | 59.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…4758backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…7bb5backed Under | 80c | 51.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Over | 51c | 50.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 50c | 47.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 27c | 46.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Over | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Under | 73c | 45.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 25c | 40.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 37c | 39.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 41c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 50c | 31.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…18cfbacked Over | 49c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…6748backed Under | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 45c | 26.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 45c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 43c | 23.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.