Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb558fcf97cfb2b405472755d5548d60872eed4ec44cc7b6425878bf0f33fe15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 46c | 3,095$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,069$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…a44cbacked Over | 56c | 1,900$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…1e95backed Over | 58c | 1,268$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 69c | 869.94$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 32c | 791.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 55c | 736.54$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 589.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Under | 70c | 587$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 30c | 587$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Under | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 32c | 499.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 61c | 423.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 67c | 349.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 63c | 322.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 322.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 42c | 303.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 70c | 282$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 67c | 245.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 53c | 205.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Under | 67c | 186.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 55c | 185.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Under | 15c | 178.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 31c | 161.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 134$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 79c | 127.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 58c | 124.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 31c | 118.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 97.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…e287backed Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 35c | 71.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Over | 31c | 66.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 30c | 62.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 53.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 31c | 52.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Under | 44c | 47.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 31c | 47.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 70c | 42.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 27c | 41.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 40.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 37.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 35c | 34.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 57c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 31c | 33.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 53c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 58c | 28.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 60c | 28.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 26.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 77c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 63c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.