Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfed5f57c68fea50291084dfc2d96ce6366e7d12c9056729e1d572348b71714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 2,887$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,775$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.65 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 712.37$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 43c | 700.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 430.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 368.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 39c | 354.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 55c | 307.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 278.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 264.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 213.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 199.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 68c | 165.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 156.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 70c | 134.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 117.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 97.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 81.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 39c | 74.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 69.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 60c | 66.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 40c | 58.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 62c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 56.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 54.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 57c | 47.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 47.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 47.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 44.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Under | 59c | 42.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 61c | 39.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 52c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 38c | 37.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked Over | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 51c | 31.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Over | 53c | 30.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 36c | 29.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 28.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 62c | 28.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 28.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…fb5ebacked Under | 51c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 52c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Over | 52c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 63c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 60c | 18.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 61c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 61c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.