Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863a6feba5cca244d8a7f654117801d0ae547f0ab4ec7773fe0c494a057dc76e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengdu Rongcheng FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 70c | 431.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 67c | 280.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 227$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 134.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 30c | 124.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 71c | 98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 30c | 89.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 87.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 82.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 69.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 39.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 71c | 38.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 71c | 35.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 74c | 17.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 72c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 72c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.