Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0792a8833df99fe140b5419d32c08a3dcfab2d1741c753832cdeb0a2cfd8a538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 20c | 1,153$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,003$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 26c | 744.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 620.32$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 313.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 249.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Under | 35c | 245$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 60c | 233$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 71c | 210.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 61c | 188.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 64c | 175.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 171.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 22c | 169.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Over | 63c | 137.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 133.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 57c | 125.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 73c | 114.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 65c | 109.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 104.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 65c | 90.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 79c | 79.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 79c | 79.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 79c | 79.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 65c | 77.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 35c | 74.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 79c | 73.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 71.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 72c | 68.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 37c | 66.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 65.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 78c | 55.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 79c | 55.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 79c | 55.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 79c | 55.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 79c | 55.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 25c | 54.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 49.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 63c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 32c | 42.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 74c | 31.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 61c | 30.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 78c | 27.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Over | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 71c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.