TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c12,288$7,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.371,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over33c5,500$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8156942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under47c3,241$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over34c2,662$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.293040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c1,386$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over25c1,260$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3141330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over35c1,136$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c1,123$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Over33c933.43$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over33c909$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under39c857.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.013650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c840$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over27c785$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.15119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c754.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under62c603.25$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+139.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over34c593.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over32c582.87$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.186334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over54c494.87$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.231040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over54c470$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed Over36c453.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over45c440$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.762142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under68c436.38$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under80c419.23$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c380.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.731,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over55c355.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under66c332.43$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over36c298.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under65c295.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1321144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over35c286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c34…dfafbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over32c274.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over48c236.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Over34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c219.09$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.45750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c209.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over35c205.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over34c173.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.388333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Under64c156.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over34c155.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b0…687ebacked Under64c149.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Under64c145.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over55c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.68653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under36c133$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c127.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbee7…dc3abacked Over61c114.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c105.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9720860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over34c103.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.225435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over36c102.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.354930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c98.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c95.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.835650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over33c92.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over57c75.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6110952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.765151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over36c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.289747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b6…d6d2backed Under66c57.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+148.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Under68c50.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Over33c47.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over35c41.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.696352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…8d2ebacked Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c26.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4312448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under68c20.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.496368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed Under68c14.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.