Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43a90f14ad8f083e8ebf74a03095d5fdbf51a6184d30ba030c448151a8a9f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 4,039$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 2,905$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 18c | 1,210$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 1,144$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 19c | 474.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 80c | 455.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 438.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 152.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 135.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 20c | 99.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 97.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Under | 20c | 79.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 67.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 56.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 22c | 46.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…4fd7backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.