TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd35…17debacked Over58c25,802$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c13,565$5,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,732.2537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf415…995abacked Under4c12,333$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,839.681100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over59c10,507$6,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2352466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c8,337$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.4321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under46c8,300$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under42c6,666$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c4,296$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.371,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c4,162$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.2187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c4,132$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.839747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c3,610$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.9662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c3,376$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.871,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c2,878$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.4421144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over76c2,124$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under43c2,040$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c1,978$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.8448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c1,300$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe5…38c2backed Under4c1,193$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.281100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over57c1,163$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under44c1,021$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.313650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under39c1,016$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.376334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0126…4047backed Under45c1,011$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under43c999.7$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over80c886.08$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over57c754.39$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4309657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under35c707.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over56c675$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c601.01$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c596.49$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c574.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over57c567$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over68c503.12$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.12540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under42c496.22$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.816553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c463.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over77c358.3$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c323.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under42c304$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over59c293.36$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.086446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under40c270$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over75c265.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c259.23$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c255.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8633148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under41c244.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7415048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under40c230$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over56c214.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over57c204$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Over64c162.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over34c160.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.797138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c151.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under42c141.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.228643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c123.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.541850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over57c116.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c115.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8420150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over47c90.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.352630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over57c89.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over57c88.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over54c86.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under40c83.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.218460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over58c78.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.394930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over59c76.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.