Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873434b37a8f517efc509be6328931d69c19d2863312040db5332db1a679a40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 66c | 33,966$22,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,548.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 19,266$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.44 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 34c | 16,500$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…fc91backed Over | 0c | 11,380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 378.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…ac7dbacked Over | 35c | 277.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 275.32$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 34c | 262.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 252.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 35c | 204.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 35c | 145.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Under | 65c | 93.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 66c | 73.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Over | 32c | 68.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Over | 34c | 61.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 65c | 60.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Over | 34c | 59.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 33c | 56.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 67c | 55.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 66c | 53.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 66c | 53.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 66c | 53.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 66c | 53.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 66c | 53.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 66c | 49.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 44.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 41.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 34c | 35.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under | 66c | 31.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 66c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…1df8backed Over | 35c | 28.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…c181backed Under | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Under | 68c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 68c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Under | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 66c | 20.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Under | 66c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Under | 66c | 20.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 66c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 67c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Under | 66c | 15.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Under | 66c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.