TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd46c…fc91backed Over0c11,380$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c2,556$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over58c1,059$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.141030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over35c1,002$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over24c917.17$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.192138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c909.96$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Under43c797.79$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Under77c683.12$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over30c669.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over31c651.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c650.58$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c534$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c525.78$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c480.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.263616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c386.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.968353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over57c377.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c360.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.848853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over57c326.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.724148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over57c310.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.073850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over57c310.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.073253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over51c292.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c278.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over57c264.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over42c264.23$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c229.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.157254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under44c227.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.882070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c220.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Under70c200.32$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c176.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over29c174.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over57c171.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over48c158$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.142951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over42c157.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c149.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.553737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c107.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over57c105.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c105.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4311752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Over55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c101$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over57c99.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.752948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over53c94.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.274540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under49c88.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3510757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c80.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c77.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8630954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under56c66.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.056050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over52c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.726147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.725244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…cd58backed Over59c60.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over54c59.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.076823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over38c59.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7919849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…a754backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over48c44.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.231838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under42c42.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.576162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ac…4326backed Under47c42.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under42c39.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under45c37.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.892560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe09d…add2backed Under77c31.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over44c30.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.364337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over55c28.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under51c26.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…6fa2backed Under42c26.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed Under75c26.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over58c25.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7507…d5e5backed Over54c24.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…b454backed Under46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377b…bd0cbacked Over54c23.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…8b72backed Over54c23.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5c…5d3ebacked Under46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…0a72backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90af…2aa3backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9624…0b05backed Over58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a97…031abacked Over54c19.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa32…7cb2backed Over54c18.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.