Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6447d4d86f8c58fedd22dc8d60f1fd932a6982efc2d82e4ff1f51a455a269b3d

Rebuilt 3 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd46c…fc91backed Over	0c	11,380$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	1,881$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.36	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	1,305$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.4	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	54c	1,224$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.67	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over	27c	999.74$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	854.98$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.19	478	50.8%243 W · 235 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over	46c	671.7$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.28	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	55c	664.73$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over	59c	517.58$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over	55c	469.98$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.19	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	34c	442.82$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.44	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	78c	442.37$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.15	50	66%33 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over	72c	390.5$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	58c	372.65$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.93	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	71cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	44c	310.97$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.61	108	37%40 W · 68 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	77c	299.99$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.99	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	58cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under	52c	294.96$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.35	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	54c	262.33$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.66	69	58%40 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Over	54c	240.95$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	56c	235.95$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.29	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	37c	224.16$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.94	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	19c	218.38$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.89	437	48.3%211 W · 226 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	23c	210.14$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.92	309	54.7%169 W · 140 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	42c	195.3$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.84	286	59.4%170 W · 116 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	53c	187.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under	72c	179.25$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.19	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	25c	137.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	235	51.5%121 W · 114 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Over	27c	129.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	23c	122.13$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	39c	106.02$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Under	50c	100.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	52c	100.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	22c	94.54$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.65	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over	43c	84.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over	53c	80.36$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over	54c	79.06$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.69	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under	20c	77.71$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.17	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	60c	72.88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.21	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	28c	71.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over	75c	70.31$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.73	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	38c	70$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over	20c	67.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over	42c	60.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	79c	60$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under	27c	58$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.34	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over	19c	52.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	55c	49.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	28c	48.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over	73c	44$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.12	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	24c	42.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Under	40c	37.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe67c…92ccbacked Under	41c	36.9$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+146%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	62c	32.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over	53c	31.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over	49c	31.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22ce…3cf8backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over	75c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	69cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb06a…1924backed Under	44c	28.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+125.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	50c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over	39c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	72cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5644…2befbacked Over	61c	24.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed Under	60c	23.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Under	47c	21.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	80c	20.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…a8e1backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over	74c	14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd891…c65ebacked Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event