Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191c32be2fdd636ab9fb04b8fd507092920e0bede81b9a9176d6a9835f825178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney FCof Brisbane Roar FC, Sydney FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd46c…fc91backed Brisbane Roar FC | 0c | 11,380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…4a9ebacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 891$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…8077backed Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 772$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…d35dbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 747$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…35a1backed Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 723$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…7b8ebacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 712$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brisbane Roar FC | 5c | 666.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brisbane Roar FC | 6c | 549.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…09f8backed Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 504$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…4bf7backed Brisbane Roar FC | 3c | 442$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…39dcbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 5c | 430$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…2dbebacked Brisbane Roar FC | 5c | 427$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…f17dbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 5c | 424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…249abacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 408$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…b9abbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 3c | 407$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…a244backed Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 380$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6baabacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 380$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Brisbane Roar FC | 6c | 292.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4996…3c6fbacked Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 270$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.