CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b9e68a4a2e01cb86064195c87f6a70a65ce02ce8bc33182ab40f97cbc07e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof AM Gaming, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed AM Gaming | 41c | 1,488$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brute | 59c | 602.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed AM Gaming | 41c | 592$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Brute | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed AM Gaming | 41c | 309.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Brute | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Brute | 59c | 257.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Brute | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Brute | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 59c | 120.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Brute | 59c | 106.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Brute | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed AM Gaming | 38c | 81.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed AM Gaming | 43c | 75.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 42c | 50.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Brute | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Brute | 60c | 39.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Brute | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Brute | 59c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed AM Gaming | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Brute | 62c | 27.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Brute | 62c | 27.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Brute | 62c | 26.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Brute | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Brute | 59c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageBrute won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.